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On Tuesday, the US’s leading index achieved a record high despite the sell-off in bonds. Markets rallied in response to high earning expectations thanks to the trillions of dollars pouring into AI infrastructure. According to Factset, analysts are expecting Q3 earnings growth of 29.5%. Chipmakers Nvidia and Micron are expected to account for more than a third of that growth. Some of this bullishness was dented on Thursday after OpenAI told investors that revenue for this year will be $50bn, $20bn less than estimated in September.
With AI development and the race for superintelligence showing no signs of slowing down, OpenAI CEO, Sam Altman advocated for a light touch regulatory stance in an interview on Monday. He said that the world should just accept “some bad things happening” in exchange for the benefits AI may bring…
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The quarter to end of September was a strong period for the global equity market, but this statement hides a lot of what was occurring “under the bonnet”. The global equity index was lifted in September mainly by the strong performance in the US market while other regions delivered negative returns, reversing some of the strong gains we’d seen over the summer months.
The US equity market posted a positive return of +2.9% in Q3, as this is such a large proportion of the global index, this helped the global benchmark return +2.4%. However, we need to look at things a little closer…
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In his first conference speech as Labour party leader and Prime Minister, we got several important policy updates from Andy Burnham. From April 2030 the government will finally “rip the plaster off” and amend the pensions triple lock to not necessarily keep pace with workers’ earnings. Electoral reform is back on the agenda, and a new in-out EU referendum could be included in the next Labour election manifesto. Prior to the conference, the reboot of Help to Buy to become the Your First Home Scheme sent housebuilding stocks up on Monday.
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