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The final polls suggest Democrats will have enough to comfortably flip control of Congress following Tuesday’s US midterm elections. They also have a narrow lead in many key Senate races. Trump has simply bypassed most checks and balances through executive orders over the last two years, but losing both houses will open a wave of subpoenas and investigative committees, potentially drowning Trump’s next two years in office in litigation and impeachment trials. It may also have repercussions for the AI boom by making it possible for Democrats to pass bills which limit data centre buildouts and impose new regulations on the frontier labs…
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Following the previous week’s AI sell off, investors started the week buying the dip on Monday. The positive momentum continued for a few days but was dashed on Thursday when the US’s leading tech index suffered its steepest single day decline since June. The sentiment shifted after Meta posted negative cash flow for the first time since 2012 and announced new non-voting shares to raise more capital for AI spending. Meta were also hit by their largest fine yet. A judge in New Mexico ordered the company to pay $25bn after they were found guilty of lying about how they handled user data.
Reports later Thursday morning suggested OpenAI have cut their latest valuation from $1.4tn to $1.25tn. OpenAI declined to comment on why they’ve lowered their fundraising target, but investor fatigue and the growing scepticism around the AI buildout will have played a role..
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A troubling week for AI shares saw the US’s tech index tumble nearly 4.5% when markets closed on Friday.
Rising US inflation numbers helped trigger the Wednesday-to-Friday sell off. The final inflation numbers before the US midterms from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed inflation rose to 3.7% in September. The Producer Price Index (PPI) soared well above expectations to 6.3%, the largest increase since December 2022 and more than triple the Fed’s 2% target. Chances of a rate hike have increased on the back of the readings.
Problems in the neocloud sector (rentiers of GPU computing power and AI infrastructure) exacerbated the sell off at the centre of the AI trade…
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